"Os Desafios da Pós-Graduação em Demografia no Brasil"
Prof Dra Rosana Baeninger (NEPO/Unicamp)
Representante de demografia no comitê assessor do CNPq (2012-2014), Assessora da pró-reitoria de pós-graduação da Unicamp (2009-2013).
Local: Videoteca 2 da Biblioteca Central Zila Mamede (UFRN)
Horário: dia 14/03/2013, às 10h00
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04 março, 2013
“The main problem with the UN approach is that stability analyses of the projected equilibrium, the point of zero growth, are not possible. Stability analysis requires a dynamic rather than a purely statistical model.” This is because it is not sufficient for such analyses to base their projections of population size on the amount of time elapsed, without taking into account other causal factors. Especially, the UN projections assume total independence from energy resources.
Fonte: Max Plank Institute, 04/03/2013
Postado por Ricardo Ojima às 11:26
01 março, 2013
No. of pages: 204
Publication date: 2013
Publisher: UNFPA, IIED and El Colegio de Mexico
A flurry of extreme weather events, together with projections that grow more somber with every new scientific advance, have dramatically highlighted the need to respond more effectively to the threats already upon humankind. In the midst of a rapidly expanding global adaptation agenda, it is of primary importance to get adaptation and its constituent parts right, in order to generate the most appropriate and effective interventions. Reacting to events after they occur is no longer sufficient; we increasingly need to anticipate and reduce the suffering and the enormously damaging impacts coming events will cause. This book addresses a major gap in adaptation efforts to date by pointing to the vital role that an understanding of population dynamics and an extensive use of demographic data have in developing pre-emptive and effective adaptation policies and practices.
Politics and an oversimplified understanding of demographic dynamics have long kept population issues out of serious discussions in the framework of climate negotiations. Within adaptation actions, however, this is beginning to change, and this volume is intended to provide a framework for taking that change forward, towards better, more evidence-based adaptation. It provides key concepts linking demography and adaptation, data foundations and techniques for analyzing climate vulnerability, as well as case studies where these concepts and analyses illuminate who is vulnerable and how to help build their resilience.
Postado por Ricardo Ojima às 15:14