04 março, 2013

World population: The end of growth is improbable

“The main problem with the UN approach is that stability analyses of the projected equilibrium, the point of zero growth, are not possible. Stability analysis requires a dynamic rather than a purely statistical model.” This is because it is not sufficient for such analyses to base their projections of population size on the amount of time elapsed, without taking into account other causal factors. Especially, the UN projections assume total independence from energy resources.

Fonte: Max Plank Institute, 04/03/2013


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